Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013 0.000015
2024-12-29 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000013 0.000015 0.000018
2025-01-05 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022
2025-01-12 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000018 0.000026
2025-01-19 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000022 0.000036
2025-02-02 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000026 0.000044
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000028 0.000052
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000018 0.000032 0.000061
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000019 0.000035 0.000072
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000019 0.000037 0.000081
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000040 0.000092
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000010 0.000021 0.000044 0.000110
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000048 0.000130
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000051 0.000144
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000054 0.000164
2025-04-13 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000057 0.000186
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000062 0.000217
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000025 0.000072 0.000272
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000026 0.000078 0.000317
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000028 0.000086 0.000378
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000011 0.000029 0.000093 0.000443
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000029 0.000098 0.000499